Posted by David A. Grant | Articles

apple-300x200Recent street chatter is that Apple will unveil a new 12.9′ version of the iPad sometime in early 2015. Some analysts are calling this a solid move to compete against Samsung. With its release earlier this year of a new line of Galaxy Pro models with screen sizes up to 12.2″, Samsung is attempting to crack the Enterprise market. These next generation tablets include WebEx optimization as well as multi-tablet synching capability.

Rather than a move into the larger display tablet market, this appears to be a move that solidifies Apple as a marketplace follower. Most of what readers are presented within the Apple realm these days is about the same. Headlines drone on about Apple’s lack of ability to innovate. The second quarter of this year saw iPad unit sales down 16% year-over-year to 16.35 million units. (Data source: NASDAQ.COM)

Apple’s “Follow the Leader” move into the larger display market is not new. Rumors of iPhone 6 screen sizes up to 5.5″ have been around for much of this year. Hello Apple, and welcome to the 21st century, where larger screen sizes have prevailed for several years.

September has historically been “the month” for Apple watchers. In addition to the possible next gen iPhone, more information may be forthcoming about the iWatch, a device to be heavily promoted as the must-have device for the wearable revolution.

But here’s the take-away: the upcoming release of larger display devices and wearable technology will most likely not be enough to boost Apple’s trend toward lower revenue growth.

To Predict the Future, Let’s Look to the Past

They say that the best indication of future performance is past history. We can essentially look into the past to see the future. This tech watcher has been playing in the tech playground since Windows first appeared on the landscape.

Let’s look back, shall we? During the infancy of the Internet, AltaVista was the search engine of choice. Within two years of its 1998 launch, it was responding to over 80 million search queries daily (Data source: Wikipedia.org). In the early 2000’s, users expected AltaVista – an industry leader of its time – to reign supreme forever. Such was the naiveté of the early technology marketplace. AltaVista is now no more and most likely a model used for those who study ancient technology.

The global perspective here is that industry leaders can go from veritable shooting stars to non-existent entities over the course of a few years. Am I implying that Apple may fall from the tree? Not in a New York minute. But there are many historical precedents within the tech sector that demonstrate the fragility of being a leader.

After all, when was the last time you powered up a Compaq desktop?.

 

About David A. Grant

Technology writer David A. Grant has been watching the tech landscape change and evolve since its inception. Back in the day when RAM wholesaled at a dollar per megabyte, and an 8GB hard drive was considered overkill, David was turning screws in a DEC Alpha Linux shop in southern New Hampshire, grateful that Al Gore had invented the Internet as we know it. He continues to watch and report on industry trends and changes.

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